Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-03 00:00:00+00:00 0.115257 0.123820 0.132697 0.142591 0.153316 0.164599 0.177375
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 0.103672 0.116541 0.130566 0.147016 0.165817 0.186677 0.211633
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.093953 0.108803 0.125531 0.145825 0.169858 0.197502 0.231840
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.086623 0.102764 0.121442 0.144741 0.173150 0.206822 0.249983
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.079682 0.096473 0.116350 0.141739 0.173481 0.212084 0.262931
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.076542 0.094432 0.116060 0.144300 0.180444 0.225477 0.286342
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.071652 0.089852 0.112260 0.142085 0.181049 0.230642 0.299213
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.067759 0.086259 0.109425 0.140814 0.182613 0.236887 0.313557
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.063311 0.081688 0.105052 0.137220 0.180801 0.238422 0.321421
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.060073 0.078514 0.102303 0.135564 0.181383 0.243033 0.333535
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.057938 0.076678 0.101199 0.136005 0.184742 0.251460 0.351257
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.054979 0.073586 0.098244 0.133723 0.184145 0.254256 0.360938
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.052774 0.071494 0.096644 0.133366 0.186397 0.261402 0.377676
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.052265 0.071726 0.098259 0.137618 0.195446 0.278757 0.410553
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.050048 0.069447 0.096228 0.136498 0.196551 0.284454 0.425979
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.048031 0.067356 0.094358 0.135492 0.197719 0.290214 0.441693
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.045616 0.064587 0.091388 0.132703 0.196030 0.291501 0.450329
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.044875 0.064217 0.091877 0.135083 0.202284 0.305206 0.479478
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.042925 0.061985 0.089523 0.133025 0.201539 0.307899 0.490744
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.041337 0.060226 0.087798 0.131845 0.202081 0.312599 0.505494
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.039270 0.057670 0.084774 0.128504 0.199016 0.311315 0.510007
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.037786 0.055947 0.082949 0.126966 0.198761 0.314548 0.522341
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.036872 0.055061 0.082372 0.127375 0.201672 0.323086 0.544272